AUDUSD: Potential for renewed declines on global growth concerns – MUFG

AUD/USD has been unable to advance on the back of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA’s) 50 bps rate hike. Amid global recessionary risks, economists at MUFG Bank expect the aussie to move downward.

RBA action fails to lift aussie

“RBA has taken the official policy rate to 1.35%, the highest since May 2019 and the first-ever back-to-back 50 bps hike. Around 40 bps of tightening is currently priced for the August meeting and 175 bps through the five remaining meetings this year. As is our view for the Fed and other major central banks, we do not expect the RBA to hike through the remainder of the year.” 

“We maintain that risks for AUD are to the downside. The global growth outlook is deteriorating and the fact that AUD/USD is now lower on the day after a 50 bps rate hike underlines the potential over the near-term for renewed declines on global growth concerns.”

See: AUDUSD to remain under pressure for now as recession fears linger – Commerzbank