Back
21 Feb 2014
Flash: GBP/USD eroding the near term uptrend - Commerzbank
FXStreet (Barcelona) - Karen Jones, Head of Technical Analyst at Commerzbank notes that GBP/USD has started to erode the near term uptrend and the daily RSI has not confirmed the recent 1.6822 high – this has increased the risk that the market is likely to correct lower near term.
Key Quotes
“The market needs to break below 1.6630/00 (38.2% retracement of the move seen so far in February) in order to alleviate its immediate upside bias.”
“While we acknowledge that the Elliott wave counts on the daily, weekly and monthly charts indicate that this is the end phase of the move we remain unable to rule out an extension to the 1.7041 2009 peak (although this is not our favoured scenario).”
“The market will need to break back below 1.6550 in order to re-focus on the 1.6259/29 support which remains key (September high and the 23.6% retracement of the move up from July 2013).”
Key Quotes
“The market needs to break below 1.6630/00 (38.2% retracement of the move seen so far in February) in order to alleviate its immediate upside bias.”
“While we acknowledge that the Elliott wave counts on the daily, weekly and monthly charts indicate that this is the end phase of the move we remain unable to rule out an extension to the 1.7041 2009 peak (although this is not our favoured scenario).”
“The market will need to break back below 1.6550 in order to re-focus on the 1.6259/29 support which remains key (September high and the 23.6% retracement of the move up from July 2013).”